Christopher Kent, Assistant Governor at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), addressed this issue at the Melville Lecture, highlighting that the sharp increase in interest rates hasn't led to significant financial distress among borrowers. “Mortgage arrears rates have risen, but they remain low and at similar levels in Australia and the United States,” Kent noted.
This financial resilience, according to Kent, stems from Australians making strategic financial adjustments. While pressure on household budgets is evident, many are choosing to cut spending in less critical areas rather than fall behind on mortgage payments. This tactic has helped many Australians remain on top of their financial obligations, as exemplified by stable arrears rates.
The pandemic period saw elevated savings as consumption dropped and government subsidies provided an unwarranted but welcome financial cushion. "Some borrowers may tap into existing savings," said Kent, noting that withdrawals from offset and redraw accounts increased alongside rate hikes. However, overall contributions to these savings avenues have continued as when compared to pre-pandemic levels.
Interestingly, despite a 45% hike in minimum mortgage payment requirements since 2020, the proportion of mortgage holders maintaining their payment schedules has remained consistent. This suggests a financial buffer exists among borrowers that wasn't adequately accounted for in earlier predictions.
Kent also underscored the unique nature of Australia's monetary policy environment. Despite heightened focus on its effects on variable rate borrowers, he pointed out: “There is no evidence that monetary policy overall is more potent in Australia than in other advanced economies.”
In addition to savings accumulations, low unemployment and regulatory frameworks such as the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority’s minimum serviceability criteria have provided additional cushioning. Kent cited that only a fraction of new home buyers borrowed up to their reported maximum capacities in 2022, highlighting a deliberate undershooting in borrowing.
Observing ongoing challenges, those who purchased homes post-pandemic face stiffer obstacles, influenced by recent economic conditions. “This share is likely to have increased since then due to increases in interest rates and housing prices and declines in real incomes,” Kent remarked.
The RBA's observations align with reports from major banks. Westpac shared that most mortgage holders are significantly ahead on their payments, with a majority who required hardship support needing it only temporarily. Meanwhile, ANZ Chief Executive Shayne Elliott reflected positively on borrowers' resilience despite continuously high rate conditions over the past year.
These insights originally cited in NewsWire support a narrative of Australian residents adapting smartly to ongoing monetary pressures, leveraging pandemic savings and a robust employment market to withstand the financial squeeze.
