Sally Auld, NAB's chief economist, highlighted the factors influencing this outlook: "The starting point of robust growth, a too-tight labour market and too-high inflation already supported further tightening. New upside pressure on inflation tips the balance in favour of an additional increase." She also noted that much will depend on the trajectory of oil prices and domestic data flow, indicating that the forecasted peak of 4.35% carries two-sided risks.

Westpac's economists share a similar perspective, anticipating rate hikes in the same timeframe. This consensus among major banks suggests a growing expectation of tighter monetary policy in response to persistent inflationary pressures and a strong labour market.

For borrowers, these potential rate increases could lead to higher loan repayments, affecting household budgets and financial planning. It's advisable for individuals to review their current loan arrangements, consider fixed-rate options, and consult with financial advisors to mitigate the impact of rising interest rates.

As the RBA's decisions unfold, staying informed and proactive will be crucial for borrowers navigating the evolving financial landscape.

Author: Paige Estritori
Published: Saturday 18th April, 2026

Please Note: If this information affects you or is relevant to your circumstances, seek advice from a licensed professional.

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