The appeal of gold traditionally strengthens when interest rates decline, offering a more enticing investment option over other vehicles like bonds, which may bring diminished returns in periods characterized by reduced interest rates. This scenario often results in a softened dollar, enhancing the attractiveness of gold on the global market and propelling demand.
While speculations about the specific timing and magnitude of interest rate cuts persist, UBS upholds its expectation for an eventual easing of Federal Reserve policies. In a recent turn of events, the Fed kept the rates steady in January and also dampened any speculations of an immediate rate cut as of March.
Amidst these economic predictions, gold's reputation as a stable investment shelter has gained momentum, particularly following the recent conflict between Israel and Hamas that has been occurring since October 7. This situation contributed notably to gold reaching an unprecedented peak of $US2100 per ounce the previous month.
"Investors are likely to raise their gold reserves in response to the pervasive macroeconomic ambiguities and geopolitical unrest," remarked Joni Teves, UBS's precious metals strategist.
The spotlight doesn't shine on silver as intensively as it does on gold in matters of geopolitical turmoil or as a safety nest, thereby leading to a lag in silver's performance when compared to its more illustrious peer over recent years. Nevertheless, silver is expected to breakaway and significantly outdo gold's trajectory in an atmosphere augmented by Federal Reserve easing maneuvers.
Joni Teves elaborated that silver, with its comparatively muted background in such investment narratives, is primed for a notable leap forward. She envisages a particularly robust performance from silver, propelled by its versatile industrial uses spanning from automotive engineering to the sustainable energy sector, notably solar panels, as well as in consumer goods like jewelry and electronics.
Wrapping up recent trading figures, gold was observed at $US2052/oz, while silver took its standing at $US22.69/oz, setting the stage for an intriguing evolution of the precious metals market in the months to come.